2021年4月11日 星期日

〈Color Revolutions in the Central Asia and the US Position〉Fatima Kukeyeva

  1. Kyrgyzstan
    Kyrgyzstan became “a weak part” as has gone in this pursuit most further. Whether this country will determine a level of democratic character for the countries of region or there will be a further deterioration of a situation depends on aspiration of new power to creation. As experts consider, the spring of 2005 becomes a new boundary in the newest political history of the Central Asia
    1. the analysis of internal and external factors leads to a conclusion that this revolutions
      1. the internal factor - the reason of revolutionary explosions became the loss of trust fro the side of population to authorities in the countries, absence of a real democracy and a low living standards
      2. the post-soviet elites in the majority have been poorly prepared for transformation. Therefore steps to modernization and democratization, in the majority of these countries have turned back weakness of power and social excitements
      3. becoming of the independent Central Asian states and their entrance in to the world community occurs in conditions of globalization, which is associated with the democratization concept
      4. geopolitical features of region generate a lot of problems
  2. Talbott’s doctrine
    after 1991 US foreign policy in Central Asia some times changed the doctrine bases. During B. Clinton administration it has been proclaimed so-called “Talbott’s doctrine” which essence was, that America will not be fixed in Central Asian region, but also will not allow making it another states main task, which called to achieve this purpose
  3. new Bush doctrine
    Its basis was the thesis that the Central Asia should serve for diversification world power streams and US lower and the global markets dependence from Persian Gulf. During Bush administration two basic documents have been accepted in 2002: Act in support of freedom in Afghanistan in which the USA intended to promote development of democratic and civil society in the region and to eradicate terrorism. Other document, “National security strategy,” once again confirmed the US geopolitical purposes in Caspian-central-Asian region and determination of them to assert.In this connection promotion of democracy in Central Asian countries is considered as the factor of geopolitics.
  4. What steps the Bush administration undertaken to help for the development of the democracy in the states of region
    1. President Bush from the name of the US promises support to young democracies
    2. basing on the thesis that “today America is threatened not by the strong states, but by the insolvent states
    3. the outstanding American experts joined to the process of the strategy development directed to the support of democracy in the Central Asia

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